Warmer weather could lead to flooding in region

MERCURY RISING: July daytime temperatures reached 14 degrees Celsius, the warmest for the month since 2006 and one degree shy of the all-time Wangaratta record July, recorded in 1975. Pictured is Kevin Hill lapping up the mild weather with a jog around Wareena Park this week. PHOTO: Luke Plummer

WANGARATTA residents living in flood prone areas should brace themselves if anything can be taken from historical weather patterns.

Considering global temperature patterns can be linked to rainfall intensity, then 2013’s post August weather in Wangaratta could turn nasty.

Retired CSIRO weather forecaster Peter Nelson said average temperatures from January to July this year have been of equal warmth to 2007, and prior to that, 1930.

In 1930 there were massive rainfall events starting with 87.1mm in August, 131.9mm in October and 152.5mm in December.

The warm year to date ended on trend and Mr Nelson said July experienced its warmest average for the month in seven years, with the mercury climbing to an average of 14 degrees Celsius – 1.1 degrees above the historical July mean.

“It fell just short of the 2006 figure of 14.3 degrees and one degree short of the all time high July average of 15 degrees, recorded in 1975,” he said.

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